What Really Happened!
Much has been written about the last election, and many more will offer their own analysis in the weeks and months to come. But now that we’ve all had some time to reflect on the results, I think it’s time for the NPA to admit what happened.
What actually happened this election is that a group of dedicated, principled, passionate individuals that care about the future of our city got together and did everything they could to help a group of candidates, including myself, get elected.
That’s right, you heard it here first!: “A group of dedicated, principled, passionate individuals that care about the future of our city …”
I’ve been involved in five campaigns now, at the civic, provincial and federal level over the past three years, and this was one of the most professional, buttoned-down and disciplined campaign teams I’ve had the pleasure of working with.
Peter Armstrong was an amazingly inspirational leader and hard not to love. He literally threw himself into the effort to an unprecedented degree for any Chair. He didn’t just show up, he didn’t just do the fun events, Peter was out there in the rain at 7:30 am in the morning side by side with the candidates Burma-shaving, canvassing and mainstreeting. He was tireless!
He would send over books he thought would inspire us to greater efforts, and he brought groups of candidates together to work out differences … he made a Herculean effort and deserves credit for all good that happened this campaign.
Norman Stowe is one of the strongest, most professional business leaders I’ve met. He has a no-nonsense management style essential to ensure campaigns don’t devolve into chaos. He brought order, discipline, structure and a relentless focus on the fundamentals that inspired confidence and kept the campaign on track. And though famously well-hidden, he’s got a roguish sense of humor that built bonhomie, and was often used to break tension at critical moments.
Campaigns, especially losing campaigns, make or break people. Michael Davis, who handled media relations, was one of those that came shining through. He provided invaluable advice throughout the campaign and more than once saved candidates and the campaign from ourselves. Principled, level-headed, trustworthy, great instincts and a strong, calming presence when it was most needed.
David Hurford was one of the best policy partners a candidate could find. He was stellar. And if you actually look at the policy framework Suzanne Anton proposed, it is far more substantial than Vision’s and much more innovative. But I digress …
Other standouts were the Voter ID team under Marko Decovik, which dwarfed previous NPA efforts; fundraising under Rob McDonald which also surpassed all earlier campaigns. And there were a number of very nice people who worked in the campaign office and did everything they could to help, including Art Perret who ran operations for us. It was a great group to work with.
My difference with the campaign lies completely in the substance of what we offered voters, both in terms of content and tone. It’s not even that our campaign was perceived as negative – there’s nothing wrong with negative campaigns in and of themselves.
Vision’s campaign against the NPA in 2008 was terribly negative, and this time around they were still planting negative stories about NPA candidates in the press right up until election day. Gregor may look like a boy scout but Vision plays hardball. And so should we.
My beef is with the lack of intelligence in our approach, best exemplified by the campaign’s failed attempts at humour intended to both demonize and trivialize our opponents.
In an article for Business in Vancouver titled “NPA falls on its own sword of tired tactics“, former Mayoral candidate Peter Ladner wrote:
“It’s time for the NPA to get out a huge vacuum and suck up all the people who think every political opponent is evil and that job No. 1 is to eliminate them,” Ladner writes.
“It’s a tiresome, downer strategy borne of three years of citycaucus.com blog’s partisan putdowns – hilarious to family and friends, but tedious and irritating to anyone who cares more about the city than about hating Vision and COPE (RIP).”
Were we blinded by our own need to paint the other guys as evil? Whatever the cause, the NPA was handed a great opportunity this election and failed to seize it.
The city had just experienced one of the worst riots in its history due to the Mayor’s well-meaning but reckless irresponsibility; there is at minimum a quarter-billion dollar loss at the Olympic Village; Vision’s many broken promises were coming back to haunt them; and neighbourhoods across the city were up in arms over a lack of meaningful consultation.
Instead the campaign chose to focus its ire on trivial issues – a $5000 urban agriculture grant and the right for people to raise their own chickens – wedge issues used to divide voters and force people to choose sides.
It worked, just not as intended. Instead of bringing voters to our side, we drove centrist voters away, in the process alienating many of the people I know (and was counting on for support.)
As Rick Peterson recently observed in a Vancouver Sun editorial:
This year’s NPA campaign team decided to go with a “populist” approach … that many people found too negative … In the end, voters clearly favoured Vision’s “softer” and possibly more positive agenda focusing on the environment and social issues.
Vision pollster Bob Penner offered a particularly salient observation about our tactics relating to Occupy Vancouver:
Anton’s focus on Occupy also hurt her with some voters: many felt she was politicizing the issue for her own political gain. While these voters were mostly in the Robertson camp, they could also be found among Anton voters, and significantly among the undecided as well.
… The sheer volume of extra coverage probably did help Anton somewhat, given her low recognition and approvals at the beginning of the campaign.
But the media’s relentless focus on Occupy Vancouver’s every move, and the politicians’ every reaction to it, did limit more useful information from reaching voters, and we all missed an opportunity for a more substantive political debate, something that – at least in part – election campaigns are supposed to be about.”
And I think that about sums it up.
Those that are now arguing all we need is a better voter ID operation are missing the lesson of the election in which we did better at voter ID than ever before.
Ultimately, Voter ID, and every successful election campaign, requires voters to like something about you. That realization alone should require us to define ourselves in a way that doesn’t repel the average thinking voter.
Those that dream of a better result if we just reached more voters should have spent some time with me canvassing former NPA voters in Kits so turned off by our campaign they were actually hostile. Or they should have listened to the phone calls I received from friends literally sputtering they were so angry with the two-page attack ads they saw in the papers over Occupy Vancouver that morning.
The NPA has always survived as a grand bargain between federal Liberals and Conservatives, yet we came very close this campaign to alienating the liberals, myself included. Why? What was gained? We have re-ignited divisions many of us worked three years to try and tamp down.
So it behooves those who take charge of the next iteration of the NPA to demonstrate a little humility, admit the errors involved in this campaign, acknowledge the damage done to the NPA, try to heal deep divisions rubbed raw yet again, and recognize at the very least that the answers won’t be found in a small back room of the most partisan-minded among us.
The party’s future literally depends on it.





The NPA’s campaign basically turned me to voting a strictly “anyone but NPA” strategic ballot. Hell, there’s a realistic possibility that I might not have even voted if it weren’t for that trash. I certainly wouldn’t have been voting for Vision until I saw how the realistic alternative was operating, and I was in full-on what’s-the-point mode heading into the election.
I have no love for Vision, but the ham-fisted approach to the NPA campaign, punctuated quite nicely, IMO, with the chicken suit “let’s all have a laugh about homelessness” fake tent city stunt the day before the election, was exemplary of most everything that is wrong with the state of politics today. Even if NPA politics lined up perfectly with my own, I would never support that type of garbage.
Okay, I have to ask: Seriously, what the hell was that chicken suit tent thing? How could anyone stand there for that photo without flipping the proverbial desk and storming off into the sunset? Did nobody ask “gee, guys, have we really come to this point? Seriously, everyone; let’s just stop and have a look at what we’re doing here for a moment.” What an embarrassment.
Sean, I do sincerely appreciate your willingness to discuss this stuff, though. You seem reasonable, and it’s a shame that you were tied in with all of that stuff.
I like what I’m reading in this post Sean. I think you’ve definitely got something here. Were the partisan’s vehemently against Vision, absolutely. Reflecting on this I can say I was definitely one of those partisans who still can’t help but feel ill that Gregor Robertson has another 3 years to run this city.
I will say that I’m happy we have our second councillor elected, so debate can’t be silenced by the Vision/COPE majority. There will have to be a vote, they will have to actually show their true colours. Good ideas will no longer be able to be cleared from the order paper as if they never happened. In this sense I don’t believe our efforts were a failure at all.
I’m also pleased that COPE was almost completely wiped out. COPE has been a strong voice in this city and under their agreement with Vision their voice of reason on several issues had been silenced. For me, anything that silences good debate is negative. I believe 2014 will be a much more interesting election.
I believe you are correct though, it is time for the NPA to band together with centre-right voters. Find common ground on as many issues as possible. Next election does not necessarily have to be fought with gimmicks. We’ll have strong representation with Councillors Ball and Affleck. They will create a strong framework for us to run on.
In the meantime we should all make ourselves available to all of our elected officials to help them over the next 3 years. Being in opposition isn’t easy, we can’t forget about them for 2 years and then expect them to win when the election rolls around.
Thanks Paul. I really liked the poll analysis you did. that helped!
Sean,
You have a number of very valid points in this post and I thank you for voicing them. I also thank you for running for public office, it is a tough business and we are all better for your efforts!
I have a different perspective of what went wrong. I believe the NPA must become a real party to have any chance at beating our very organized opponents. Most elections are not won during the writ period they are won by doing work on the ground well in advance.
If the NPA can focus on building a bigger membership, engaging with its members on an ongoing basis and run one campaign not a group of individual campaigns. This will allow us to recruit and encourage good people to run for the NPA.
Lastly, we can not give up on Urban voters that live in communities built by various NPA administrations. I think it was a suburban mindset that did us in combined with our failure to connect those good policy ideas to our vision of the city.
Well said Sean. I share your experiences, frustrations and disappointment. Vancouver is the lesser for this failure.